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“Unless there are going to be rules that both sides are willing to obey, that nuclear plants should be off limits, neutral zones, then you are going to raise the risks of something catastrophic happening,” said Lyman, noting that Russia has widely violated rules of warfare throughout the invasion. Ukraine has four nuclear power plants, and the shuttered Chernobyl (Chornobyl in Ukrainian) plant, the site of the worst nuclear accident in history, has already served as a military post in the invasion. The use of Zaporizhzhia’s reactors as hostages to war won’t stop with just that plant, with Russia’s statements about its goal of the complete control of Ukraine, warned Edwin Lyman, director of nuclear power safety with the Union of Concerned Scientists. Breaching the reactors or even the spent fuel would spew radioactive particles across southern Ukraine and Russia. The March firefight at the plant blocked emergency personnel from the plant after a reactor building was damaged. Although modern reactors are covered with a steel shell and hardened concrete meant to withstand airplane strikes, they are not built to withstand missile strikes, and spent fuel pools don’t have the same protection as reactors. Reportedly, rocket launchers are stationed between reactors and armored personal carriers are parked in one turbine room, according to the New York Times, blocking a fire lane for emergency workers.
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The second possible scenario is even worse: all-out warfare at the site. “These reactors are 40 years old, and parts need to be periodically replaced just like routine service checks in a car,” said Dalnoki-Veress. The Zaporizhzhia plant’s operators would have to carefully shutter its reactors if cooling fails, cutting off a fifth of the electrical power generated in Ukraine. That could culminate in a meltdown of fuel inside an overheated reactor or cooling ponds for spent fuel rods - similar to the Fukushima Daiichi reactor disaster in 2011 - where partial reactor meltdowns, explosions at spent fuel pools and radioactive gas venting led to a 19-mile-wide evacuation zone. The first possibility was outlined by the IAEA’s Rossi in his remarks, where a lack of spare parts, faltering maintenance and cutoff of outside backup power leads to the loss of cooling capacities. “It is the ultimate in state-based nuclear terrorism.” “We are totally in uncharted territory, said Dalnoki-Veress. “That brings the notion of having a human shield to an entirely different and horrific level.” “Russia is now using the plant as a military base to fire at Ukrainians, knowing that they can’t and won’t shoot back,” said Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Monday speaking at the United Nations, because of the possibility of striking a reactor or radioactive waste stored on the site and contaminating southern Ukraine. 3 analysis from the Institute for the Study of War. Yes, the reactors have containment and are otherwise protected, but there is always the possibility that events can escalate.”Īppropriation of the Zaporizhzhia plant - where at least two still-working reactors require careful maintenance to safely operate - to use as a shielded artillery park is a dangerous new low in nuclear brinkmanship, perhaps intended to sway NATO against support for a southern offensive from Ukraine, suggested an Aug.
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“I don’t want to overblow the situation either. “I think it is absolutely warranted to say it is as serious as it was in March,” said Ferenc (Jacob) Dalnoki-Veress, a scientist-in-residence at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey. 2, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Grossi called the plant “completely out of control” in an interview with the Associated Press. The plant - and the defunct Chernobyl nuclear waste site - continued to operate with Ukrainian workers overseen under duress by Russian nuclear agency personnel.Īs the war in Ukraine moved south last month, Russia turned the Zaporizhzhia complex into an artillery park for rocket launchers and in return received Ukrainian drone strikes. Russia’s invading armies seized the Zaporizhzhia plant in March in a dangerous firefight that damaged one reactor building, seen worldwide on security cameras. Secretary-General António Guterres said that attacks on the plant were “suicidal.”
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The Ukrainian government has said that Russian shelling on Saturday had damaged radiation sensors at the plant. Russia’s nuclear brinkmanship in Ukraine is once again raising alarms - this time over the fate of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, the largest in Europe.